Let's talk about six, baby.
The next challenger is either going to be Shayna again or a returning Nia Jax. Asuka likely isn't leaving the tag division any time soon. I don't have a problem with that since the idea of Asuka feuding with Becky or Charlotte yet again simply isn't interesting. The Kabuki Warriors are still entertaining.
Seeing as they weren't even willing to give Asuka a pity win with the battle royal last year, the safe assumption is no. A pre-show match with zero importance, no top stars in it, and she still lost. That was when she was still somewhat protected too. What chance does she have now as an aging jobber to the stars? A win only gets more unlikely with each passing WM.Asuka's never getting her Mania win is she though? I mean she's 0-3 now. In fact she's lost every big match she's been in this year.