I'm just going with my little experience so far in this game. IIRC the case of a new player being indy has never occured when I started playing Mafia, but then again I'm not sure how to split scum/others.
How would you make the split Rop3?
Not complaining Just found the origins of that thought process intriguing. What did lead you to think that one of the newbies is an indie? Not saying it's wrong or anything, I've got no clue what their alignments are.
As for the split, I'd say 3 mafia 1 SK left alive.