Originally Posted by WesternFilmGuy
WCW was 25 years ago. The amount of wrestling fans in the US is probably less than a 3rd of what is was back then.
I'm just being real and not expect 1.5 million viewers weekly for a wrestling show in 2019. If WWE (a billion dollar brand) is only getting 2 million, the new guys on the block ain't getting 1.5 million.
TNA, the closest competitor from the previous decade, only managed around a million viewers for most of their run as the number 2 promotion, and that was on a major channel as well in Spike.
RAW 2010: 5 million viewers
TNA 2010: 1ish million viewers
That was in 2010. It's almost 2020.
RAW 2019: 2 million viewers
AEW with the same ratings as TNA: 400,000 viewers
You may be right. But here's my thought.
RAW's audience has eroded heavily. The 25th Anniversary RAW a little over a year ago drew 4.5M viewers. That probably represents the peak potential audience - or close to it - for wrestling. A week later it fell to 3.3M, and flash forward to now and the show is struggling to stay above 2M.
Even if no
current WWE viewer watches AEW, there's a significantly sized lapsed audience out there. Don't underestimate AEW's potential.
Also consider the dynamic. WWE of 2010 still had a bit of a balance of legacy stars (HBK, Taker, HHH), more established newer stars (Cena, Orton, Batista, Edge, Miz), and some exciting younger talent (CM Punk, Legacy, Nexus). TNA was had a base of younger talent that was misused (Styles, Roode, Storm, Joe, Abyss) and a host of past their prime stars (Hogan, Flair, Foley, Hall, Nash, Kid).
WWE of 2019 has a very flat playing field. Quite simply put, it's Roman Reigns and everyone else. All AEW has to do is come to the plate with Jon Moxley and CM Punk, and then use superior storytelling to establish the other talented wrestlers on their roster.
Basically, I'm bullish on their initial prospects.