You're the first person I've seen favor the Bears over the Packers for division title.
Being slightly biased is one reason, my other reasoning is that two years ago, Green Bay was the Wild Card spot and Chicago was the NFC North Division winner. Last year Green Bay had an easier schedule and Chicago was hurt. Now Green Bay has a harder schedule and has not improved in any way. Sure, Green Bay has the best passing game in the league, but with a lackluster D that is either pick or 6, they cause a turnover or let the other team score, the gamble may not pay off. I'm not saying Green Bay sucks, I'm just saying I think they will be a wild card at 10-6.
As for Titans at the last wild card spot, I'm picking between Bills, Chargers, Chiefs, Bengals, and Titans, and I think Tennessee has a much easier division than the rest and can edge out the spot at 9-7.
Personally, I love the mindset of the Green Bay defense. They play for turnovers. They had 31 INTs and 7 fumble recoveries last year. Just above two forced turnovers a game. The problem is, if they don't get those turnovers, their defense backfires. It's a gamble. Plus that secondary is pretty old.
That's how I see the WC in the NFC too, but toss in the Eagles, Giants, and maybe even the Redskins. The NFC East is a toss up. It's come down to luck the past few years (or a coach icing his own kicker).
Nah Romo and MURRAY will get the job done. COWBOYS 2012