Oh, I wouldn't use the sixteen innings in MLB against him, either. It would be wrong to do that. And I'm also sure that part of the reason his velocity sometimes appears underwhelming is because he's employing a very-decent two-seamer fastball rather than the four-seamer, which he seems to have a bit less control over. And it's almost certain he'll be a perfectly all right No. 3 pitcher in MLB when it's all said and done; he definitely has a high floor.
The key problem for him in my view is that while his fastballs do feature late movement, they're nothing most Major League hitters aren't accustomed to. He'll probably end up looking splendid over the course of his first trip or two around the League once he comes back up in Cleveland, but experienced hitters will begin to sit on the two-seamer and ignore just about everything else if he doesn't vary it up more.
Again, he has a very high floor, but I don't believe in the ceiling proposed by many. Moreover, Bauer's college pitching was so lauded at UCLA by his coaches, he was allowed to throw more than 125 pitches ten times by the time he turned 20. (Lincecum threw just about as many innings as Bauer did five years earlier, but his pitch count within games was monitored closely.) It's obvious that he's strong and his unorthodox workout routine, pre-game rituals and windup all work for him now, but I personally wouldn't want him to be a centerpiece of my struggling team's future considering his smallish frame of 6'1" and 180-185 lbs. coupled to all of the aforementioned matters.
But, it's always possible he'll become a new Lincecum or Verlander; I just don't think so, but again projecting prospects is generally an inexact science.
Changing the subject a bit, it looks like King Felix's contract isn't going through because of some elbow trouble the Mariners have discovered... Sad to hear about this.
Hardball Talk @HardballTalk
Elbow issue could derail that Felix Hernandez extension http://dlvr.it/2wnBGn