^Those aren't the pots, or so I saw on the espn site.
Russia (Can drop into pot 3 if Croatia win both play off matches)
Croatia/Turkey (Croatia can move into pot 2 if they win both play off matches)
Denmark (Drop into pot 4 if Portugal qualify)
Portugal/Bosnia (Portugal will be pot 3 but Bosnia will be pot 4)
France (Can rise into pot 3 if both Croatia and Portugal are eliminated)
Winner or Ireland/Estonia game locked in
Winner of Czech R/Montenegro locked in
So basically we need to avoid France from pot 4 at all costs, and Portugal from pot 3 (they're bad, but they're our bogey team), unless we get Poland or Ukraine from pot A, in which case it doesn't matter if we get better pot 3 or 4 teams.
Basically once we get out of the group stage, my expectations lower and I can really enjoy the tournament.
If we get Poland or Ukraine, we shouldn't have many problems getting through, as it's unlikely we'll get both Portugal and France. When/If we get out of the group, I don't care who we play. There's nothing like big game joy/heartbreak, so bring on anyone. As long as Rooney doesn't get sent off or Hart breaks his hand.