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Old 02-10-2013, 08:01 PM   #3551 (permalink)
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Default Re: CHUCK MAFIA GAME PLAY THREAD

So Pez has a 1/3 chance of copping someone and in 7 chances he hasn't copped anyone?
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Old 02-10-2013, 08:04 PM   #3552 (permalink)
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Default Re: CHUCK MAFIA GAME PLAY THREAD

The odds of that being true aren't very high...
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Old 02-10-2013, 08:23 PM   #3553 (permalink)
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Default Re: CHUCK MAFIA GAME PLAY THREAD

MATH TIME

Look at Pez's role like dice. 1 or 2 Kill. 3 or 4 Block. 5 or 6 Cop. Pez hasn't got back a single cop results.

The odds of not copping someone are 2/3. Here's where the match comes in. The odds of an event happening 7 times in a row with the odds of said event happening one are 2/3 would be 2/3 (or .666) to the seventh power. .666^7 is 0.058119196856.

What this means is that there was a 5.8% chance of Pez not copping a single person 7 nights in a row.

Oh course this doesn't account for the chance he was role blocked.
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Old 02-10-2013, 08:32 PM   #3554 (permalink)
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Default Re: CHUCK MAFIA GAME PLAY THREAD

He hasn't killed anyone either.
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Old 02-10-2013, 08:35 PM   #3555 (permalink)
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Default Re: CHUCK MAFIA GAME PLAY THREAD

lol

0.00045405622544 Or .045% chance of that happening.
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Old 02-10-2013, 08:38 PM   #3556 (permalink)
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Default Re: CHUCK MAFIA GAME PLAY THREAD

I have 4 options, not 3. Try again.
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Old 02-10-2013, 08:39 PM   #3557 (permalink)
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Default Re: CHUCK MAFIA GAME PLAY THREAD

Quote:
Originally Posted by TaylorFitz View Post
Pez are you familiar with the term, "Lynch All Liars?"
Are you familiar with the term "gambit"?

Quote:
Originally Posted by dan the marino View Post
Oh right, that's true.



So do you actually investigate people?
Yes, that is one of my options.
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Old 02-10-2013, 08:53 PM   #3558 (permalink)
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Default Re: CHUCK MAFIA GAME PLAY THREAD

Fine. There's a 13.3% chance you wouldn't have copped someone yet. And there's still less than a 1% chance you haven't coped or killed anyone.

NUMBERS
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Old 02-10-2013, 09:27 PM   #3559 (permalink)
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Default Re: CHUCK MAFIA GAME PLAY THREAD

Quote:
Originally Posted by DocBlue View Post
I'm Lester Patel, Peeping Tom. I can see when a player is targeted by a role (besides my own)
Night 1 - Rising was targeted
Night 2 - Pez was targeted
Night 3 - LC was targeted
Night 4 - Ziggler wasn't targeted
Night 5 - WOOLCOCK wasn't targeted
Night 6 - Missed
Night 7 - Kenny and I didn't receive any results so i'm thinking I was roleblocked. That should clear up the issue with Nov's role.
This confirms my using my role on pez Night 2, for those doubting.

Also, why is Kenny in these results?

I ask because why would Kenny, an alleged vanilla, be able to receive results, and why would Doc be in a partnership with him when Fitz has claimed friendly neighbour and used it on CP.

Something fishy is going on here.

Quote:
Originally Posted by scrilla View Post
has sxe posted his targets?


Quote:
Originally Posted by dan the marino View Post
There's still members of two scum groups out there though.
How are you so sure there are members of two groups left?

Quote:
Originally Posted by DocBlue View Post
sXe what was that business before about why you didn't bother reading flips?
I didn't want to claim my role

Quote:
Originally Posted by dan the marino View Post
28.King Kenny - vanilla townie. I thought he was town earlier just because of how different the beginning of his play was compared to Champions. Now I'm not so sure: his super active day one followed by coasting along also reminds me of Xmas mafia. The past few times he's been town he's tried getting reads, leading wagons, etc something I haven't noticed here. Plus with multiple vanilla townies it'd make sense for scum to fake one.
Been saying this since Day 1 btw

Quote:
Originally Posted by dan the marino View Post
sXe should claim who he killed last night. With only 1 kill he may have saved someone.
I've posted all my actions. Pezley was my N7 protection.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mclovin it View Post
Sxe is probably asleep so that is most likely why it is taking so long. Night should be up when he awakens most likely.
During a weekday? Nah, I was at brunch
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Old 02-10-2013, 09:36 PM   #3560 (permalink)
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Default Re: CHUCK MAFIA GAME PLAY THREAD

Doc is saying that he targeted kenny, and that doc didn't get any results back
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