Quote:
Originally Posted by DocBlue
A common misconception. You can't use whether someone was scum in a past game as evidence they may be scum now. Trust a qualified Mathematician. Yes someone is unlikely to be scum 15 times in a row but that doesn't mean that if you get to the point when someone has been scum the past 14 games that they're any more/less likely to be scum a 15th time.
It's like saying you've lost 14 times in a row on a 1 in 3 shot on roulette so you're 'due' a win, or saying you're on a 'losing' streak so you're bound to lose again. Your odds are still 1 in 3. There is no need to consider what has happened in previous spins, that shit can lose you a whole lot of money.
So yeah what i'm getting at is if LC had been scum 14 times in a row before this we'd still have to treat her like anyone else (although I suspect she'd be lynched super quick anyway)
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Hm, well thinking about this just hurts my head so I'll go with that.
Quote:
Originally Posted by BOSS
two roleless townies?
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Mini mafias seem to have more VTs than normal games. It might just be me but when I was writing up the roles for The Room it seemed it would be easier to overpower one side, so that could be one reason for them.