Originally Posted by IMPULSE
second post. pacing myself pretty well before night.
MDP reads town. then i again he gives off a naive vibe for the most part. if the lynch role i x shot i doubt it's mafia. otherwise wasting them early makes no sense. you would ideally wait towards mid game and use it to speed town into lylo. if it is mafia and their burning it early this all hinges on the idea that the role has limited shots. then we're onto the person who possesses this role. only people on both wagons to draw some suspicion were STUFF, Rush, and naffan. one is a default sus, rising tunnel and it's effect, and naffan was hammer on wagon one.
only thing that annoys me is that even without the wagon i think days would be short based off the precedent of day 1.
i think the role is an individual. i guess that's just his role i also don't think he has to be on a wagon. we also need to look at tomorrow wagon b/c i guarantee the four players won't find themselves sharing a wagon again. i need to look back at scrubs mafia.
using an early vote to confirm innocence when someone flip scum is risky business. it sets a precedent that promotes mafia to toss bus votes around like there's no tomorrow to clear themselves. however kiz seems town to me. i also see that emarosa went to his kiz centric posting and ignored all post directed his way about the fallout of his earlier play.
i also doubt the person is picking players to get lynched at half the votes. it just takes too much effort and the first target was odd. you also think they would be at the beginning of the wagon.
When I'm scum (rarely I know) and someone starts a wagon for a valid reason and I know that wagon will gain steam (like if FARADAY starts it), I would vote a fellow scum early in that scenario. Just because it looks bad if I wait until its 'obvious hammer' to vote. I'm sure most people do the same.
That being said, Tony hinted at role info so I believed him. Pretty much a no-brainer and my vote was very early before the half-hammer nonsense. You can get better scum-hunting done when its a random lynch, no one would assume Tony was lying.
I can't wait to see how tomorrow goes. I'm not voting anyone unless we have solid info.