I don't see how softclaiming Ireland makes you confirmed town. We don't know anything about how the roles are set up for this theme. That's kind of a scummy misdirect, especially this early in the game.
Btw I'm only focusing on Pez right now because it's day 1 and nobody else has done anything suspicious. I'd be doing the same thing if anyone else had seemingly softclaimed UK and then put up a video about Dublin and took it down and then acted like they had somehow confirmed themselves town. Really strange play, is it not?