The only reason Obama is winning is because Romney isn't exactly the most likable guy out there. If the GOP put up a candidate who was likable, a candidate who was inspired by the works of Ludwig Von Mises and FA Hayek, a candidate who fully believes in the Free Market, a candidate who is an advocate of personal freedom, then Obama would lose in a landslide, and a Candidate with the name PAUL in his name.
Of course, I'm talking about THIS man:
EDIT- Those polls aren't counting voter enthusiasm, something the GOP is beating the Democrats in easily. Obama might lose just based off the pure apathy of his base.