I don't play the imaginary electoral board game. in September 2008 McCain and Obama were basically polling even. I'm actually pretty sure that on this date in 2008 McCain was ahead in the polls although that was b/c the RNC was after the DNC. either way it's not as close as it was then. Obama widening the gap EARLY much like he did to McCain as it went on.
- The electoral board is not imaginary, it's the way the president is elected. Polling in the states specifically is just as accurate, if not more than these broad polls. Also, they give us an idea of who will win more electoral votes. In no way imaginary. You see, in the popular vote Obama won by only 2%, but he won in a landslide because of the electoral system. So, they may have been polling even in the pop. vote, but it was clear by now that Obama was winning and Obama was winning big.
- Obama is by no means "widening the gap", it's as close as ever. It is a challenge for Romney to win but it is well within the realm of possibility. In fact, 270towin.com is predicting a Romney win, and the NY times has them at even at this moment in time. You can garuntee that with the $10 million checks and endless bank account Romney has he will start campaigning hard. Romney has much more resources than Obama, and after the embarrasment that was the DNC, he has no shortage of material. Please, humor me and allow me to play the "imaginary board game":
Reaction to Romney has been strong in Iowa, he is gaining ground consistently in Ohio, Florida is going Romney and most likely VA as well. With those states, many predict Romney would need 1 or 2 more of 5-6 western state, where polling is basically even. If he gets Ohio, where his gains have plataued but is still very close, even after he was behind 10 points just months ago, then you can basically call the election his. Again, I'd say for natural reasons and a good chance in Ohio Obama is the favorite, but it's very possible. Also, I don't know if it matters to you, but I'm throwing some rep your way for keeping the argument clean (a rare sight on forums).