Re: Something Interesting about Recent Royal Rumble Winners
I don't think either guy will even be in the Rumble, much less win it.
Using your theory, the "tricky" part about this year is that nobody lost the title last year for the first time since the 80's, so you'd have to go further back to see who the next guy would be. If Punk lost the title, then according to your theory that'd mean he'd be a likely candidate to win NEXT year's rumble, not this year's
Just like many people last year thought Punk would've been a guaranteed Rumble winner if he didn't have the title yet. Instead, since you have to go further back due to Punk's reign, then we're talking about either Alberto Del Rio or John Cena. And since Alberto Del Rio already won 2 years ago and is in the WHC match, that narrows it down to John Cena.
Based on your theory, John Cena is the most likely winner of the Royal Rumble this year.
I had thought Orton would be a logical choice to win it a few months ago, but he's been in midcard hell for awhile now. Then there's Ryback, but WWE has had him lose every important match. Sheamus already won last year, and will probably get a shot anyway. Ziggler already has the MITB case.
Really, Cena's the logical choice. Hasn't had the title in a year and a half. Of every long term top babyface, Cena's the only one to not win it twice. Hulk won twice, HBK won twice, Austin won three times, Cena just won once.
Punk will be winning one of the next two rumbles. Whichever Rumble WWE doesn't already have the title on him during.