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post #5 of (permalink) Old 01-02-2013, 01:23 PM
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Re: ~~Official AFL 2013 Discussion Thread ~~

Originally Posted by BULLY View Post
Sydney won't go back to back. Hawks will win this year, should have really won last year. Don't know what the fuck happened. Injuries didn't help of course.

West Coast will be up there too. Carlton will be top four. they had a great start to the season last year then dropped off. Now that got rid of that jobber of a coach (Ratten) and got a much better one. He'll install the self belief and confidence as well as winning culture the club needs. The talent is already there.
I don't think we'll win it tbh. Injuries weren't too much of an issue. We coped well with them, even without Buddy as well as Hodge at the start. It would've been nice to have had Guerra available for the final but I don't think it would've made an impact on the outcome. Sydney were the better side and deserved the win. The mental block against Geelong is still a very worrying issue.

I think Carlton will be stronger this year under Malthouse, and injuries decimated them last year. I'm a big admirer of Murphy and if he can stay fit with Judd they'll do a lot better, but like Kiz said they're not better than the top teams.

Personally I think Sydney have a great chance to go back to back. Adelaide will be better for the experience from last year and the younger players like Talia & Walker will also be better this year you would think, which is a scary thought particularly when it comes to Talia. He's a fucking beast. The draw has been favorable to them again so they've got a good chance of being top two. Carlton will be the dark horse though IMO.

I read this the other day about the draw and couldn't believe it. How the hell can this happen to North? Awful!

North Melbourne have the toughest AFL draw of 2013 while Adelaide Crows are on easy street again

After climbing peaks in Utah, North Melbourne faces another uphill battle after being ranked with the toughest draw in the AFL.

Champion Data has ranked the difficulty of every club's 2013 draw, with the Kangaroos sitting on top ahead of grand finalists Hawthorn, Collingwood and Western Bulldogs.

Every club's ranking has been reached by totalling the 2012 premiership points from each of their 22 opponents - with five opponents doubling up.

After receiving the fourth easiest draw last year, the Kangaroos' difficulty climbed after being drawn to "double-up" against three top-four sides - Hawthorn, Adelaide and Collingwood. The Roos will also face Geelong twice.

Their combined opposition reached a total of 1036 points, marginally ahead of the Hawks (1028), the Magpies (1004) and Bulldogs (998). Compounding this, the Kangaroos, along with West Coast, have eight six-day breaks - more than any other side.

At the other end of the scale, Melbourne has been ranked with the easiest draw. The Demons had a combined opposition total of 912 points, the lowest tally of any club.

Gold Coast (17th) and Brisbane (16th) ranked just above the Demons with the ease of their draw.
Adelaide has also been identified as a big winner with its 2013 draw - for the second year running.

The Crows, who are ranked with the 15th toughest draw, don't play any of their fellow top-four teams twice, but have two meetings against Port Adelaide and the Bulldogs.

Premiers Sydney plays Hawthorn and Collingwood twice, but doubles up on Greater Western Sydney and the mid-range Saints.

To avoid blowouts, seven of the eight finalists don't play GWS or Gold Coast twice during the year.

Carlton and Richmond each play just one finalist twice - the only sides drawn that way without finishing in the bottom four last season.

Geelong faces a tough opening month, playing Hawthorn, Carlton and Sydney away in the first four rounds, with three consecutive six-day breaks in this time. The Cats don't play at Simonds Stadium until Round 10 because of the ground redevelopment.

(draw ranked from toughest to easiest based on total 2012 premiership points by 2013 opponents)

1 North Melbourne (1036)
2 Hawthorn (1028)
3 Collingwood (1004)
4 Western Bulldogs (998)
5 West Coast (988)
6 Geelong (982)
7 Sydney (976)
8 Fremantle (970)
9 Carlton (968)
10 Essendon (966)
= 11 Port Adelaide (962)
= 11 Richmond (962)
= 11 St Kilda (962)
14 GWS (942)
15 Adelaide (938)
16 Brisbane Lions (916)
17 Gold Coast (914)
18 Melbourne (912)
Poor North! No finals for them this year!
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