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post #681 of (permalink) Old 06-07-2012, 07:11 PM
Santa Snoth
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re: 2012 GIANTS...TROUT >

Originally Posted by MrMister View Post
Don't double post.

Why are bunting and stealing stupid?
Sorry for double posting.

Bunting is stupid because your run expectancy with a runner on 1st and no outs is greater than a runner on 2nd with 1 out. I should have specified sacrifice bunting. Source: The Book. Great book for statheads.

Stealing is stupid because by successfully stealing 2nd your run expectancy increases by about .5. But getting caught stealing decreases run expectancy by about -.7 runs. So the risk outweights the reward. Source: The Book again. Author Tom Tango.

Now, obviously there are instances where you should sac bunt or steal but its rare and as a general rule you should not really be doing them. If someone like Jeff Mathis or Dee Gordon is up, sacrificing is more acceptable.

Platooning is something that is totally underutilized and something that has not caught on with most managers. Only the best managers seem to grasp these new concepts that have become available through statistical research. ie the GOAT Joe Madden.

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